<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2550-6722</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Chakiñan de Ciencias Sociales y Humanidades]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Chakiñan]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2550-6722</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional de Chimborazo]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2550-67222021000200057</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.37135/chk.002.14.04</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[LA NATALIDAD EN ECUADOR 1990-2017: CORRELACIÓN Y REGRESIÓN CON LAS IMPORTACIONES DE PRESERVATIVOS Y ANTICONCEPTIVOS HORMONALES]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[NATALITY IN ECUADOR 1990-2017: CORRELATION AND REGRESSION WITH THE IMPORT OF CONDOMS AND HORMONAL CONTRACEPTIVES]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cisneros]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Edison]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Instituto de Altos Estudios Nacionales Escuela de Prospectiva Estratégica ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Quito ]]></addr-line>
<country>Ecuador</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>14</numero>
<fpage>57</fpage>
<lpage>69</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2550-67222021000200057&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2550-67222021000200057&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2550-67222021000200057&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN Evitar el crecimiento desmedido de la población y los potenciales efectos negativos en los habitantes de un determinado territorio se ha convertido en una de las prioridades de los estados. Su accionar se basa en implementar políticas públicas en torno a la planificación familiar, no obstante, la planificación familiar por sí sola no es suficiente. Para que esta sea eficiente y logre el impacto deseado en el control de la población, es necesaria la disponibilidad en el mercado de métodos (productos) anticonceptivos. En este sentido, el presente estudio pretende medir la asociación y la dependencia que tienen las importaciones de anticonceptivos en el control poblacional. La delimitación de tiempo se centra entre los años 1990-2017, periodo en el cual se analiza la asociación existente entre el número de nacidos frente a las importaciones (en toneladas) de profilácticos y anticonceptivos hormonales en el Ecuador, esto mediante correlaciones de Pearson; y la dependencia mediante regresiones lineales. Los resultados reflejan que existe una correlación entre las variables: importación de preservativos e importación de métodos anticonceptivos hormonales, con la reducción o aumento en el número de nacidos en Ecuador. Asimismo, se evidencia que la variable importación de anticonceptivos hormonales explica en mayor medida el número de neonatos, en comparación con la variable importación de preservativos.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT Preventing the uncontrolled population growth and the potential negative effects on the people of a territory, has become one of the priorities of many countries. Its maneuvering is based on implementing public policy regarding family planning; however, family planning alone is not enough. To be efficient and achieve the desired impact on population control, it is necessary to guarantee the market availability of contraceptive methods (products). In this sense, the present study aims to measure the association and the dependency of contraceptives imports in population control. The time frame is centered between 1990 and 2017, a period in which the association between the number of births and the imports (in tons) of prophylactics and hormonal contraceptives in Ecuador is analyzed using Pearson's correlations, and the dependence using linear regressions. The results show that there is a correlation between the variables import of condoms and import of hormonal contraceptive methods, with the reduction or increase in the number of births in Ecuador. Likewise, it is evident that the variable import of hormonal contraceptives explains to a greater extent the number of newborns, compared to variable import of condoms]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Control demográfico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[indicadores demográficos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[política de población]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[planificación familiar]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[métodos anticonceptivos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Demographic control]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[demographic indicators]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[population policy]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[family planning]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[contraceptive methods]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Relationships among carbon emissions, economic growth, energy consumption and population growth: Testing Environmental Kuznets Curve hypothesis for Brazil, China, India and Indonesia]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Alam]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Murad]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. W.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Noman]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. H .M]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ozturk]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Ecological Indicators]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>70</volume>
<page-range>466-79</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Family planning in Pakistan: A site of resistance]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ataullahjan]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Mumtaz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Z.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vallianatos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[H]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Social Science &amp; Medicine]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<volume>230</volume>
<page-range>158-65</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>BCE</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Estadísticas de comercio exterior base de datos]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Economic approaches to population growth]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Birdsall]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[N]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Handbook of development economics]]></source>
<year>1988</year>
<volume>1</volume>
<page-range>477-542</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Population policy options in the developing world]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bongaarts]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Science]]></source>
<year>1994</year>
<volume>263</volume>
<numero>5148</numero>
<issue>5148</issue>
<page-range>771-6</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The impact of population policies: Comment]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bongaarts]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Population and Development Review]]></source>
<year>1994</year>
<volume>20</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<issue>3</issue>
<page-range>616-20</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Infanticide in Early Modern Japan? Demography, Culture, and Population Growth]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cornell]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[L. L]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Journal of Asian Studies]]></source>
<year>1996</year>
<volume>55</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>22-50</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Population Policy : Will Current Programs Succeed ? Grounds for skepticism concerning the demographic]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Davis]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Science]]></source>
<year>1967</year>
<volume>158</volume>
<numero>3802</numero>
<issue>3802</issue>
<page-range>730-9</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Population and the Quality of Society]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Figueroa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[The Quality of Society]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<page-range>115-37</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Lima, Perú ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Palgrave Macmillan]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Estudio situacional para determinar estrategias formativas en la atención a escolares con necesidades educativas especiales en la zona 5 del Ecuador]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Figueroa Cruz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Borja Salinas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Plúas Salazar]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Castro Castillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G. J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Tovar Arcos]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G. R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Estupiñan Ricardo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Investigación Operacional]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<volume>40</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<issue>2</issue>
<page-range>255-66</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B11">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Furlong]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Routledge Handbook of Youth and Young Adulthood]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Taylor & Francis ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Londres, Reino Unido]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B12">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Issues in integrated family planning and health programs]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gillespie]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D. G]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Health and family planning in community-based distribution programs]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<page-range>25-41</page-range><publisher-loc><![CDATA[Boulder, CO, Estados Unidos ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Westview Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B13">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Goldscheider]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Fertility Transitions, Family Structure, and Population Policy]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Nueva York, Estados Unidos ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Routledge]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B14">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Sobre el uso adecuado del coeficiente de correlación de Pearson: definición, propiedades y suposiciones]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Espinosa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Peñaloza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodriguez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chacón]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Toloza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Bermúdez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[V]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Revista AVFT]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
<volume>5</volume>
<numero>37</numero>
<issue>37</issue>
<page-range>587-95</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B15">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[R.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Fernández]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[C.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Baptista]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Metodología de la Investigación]]></source>
<year>2014</year>
<edition>6ª</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[México D.F., México ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Mc Graw Hill]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B16">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Posterity and population growth: fertility intention among a cohort of Nigerian adolescents]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Ibrahim]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[F. M.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Arulogun]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[O. S]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Journal of Population Research]]></source>
<year>2020</year>
<volume>37</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>25-52</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B17">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>INEC</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Estadísticas Vitales. Registro Estadístico de Nacidos Vivos y Defunciones 2018]]></source>
<year>2019</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B18">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Hanging on Cliff : Workforce Development and Sustainability in the Face of Working Age Population Decrease in South Korea]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Lee]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Adult Education Research Conference Proceedings]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B19">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Malthus]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[T. R]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Population: The First Essay]]></source>
<year>1959</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Ann Arbor, MI, Estados Unidos ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[University of Michigan Press]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B20">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Metodología para el análisis de correlación y concordancia en equipos de mediciones similares]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cortés]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[M. E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pérez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A. D. C]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Revista Universidad y Sociedad]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>8</volume>
<numero>4</numero>
<issue>4</issue>
<page-range>65-70</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B21">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<collab>Ministerio de Salud Pública del Ecuador</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Plan Nacional de Salud Sexual y Salud Reproductiva 2017-2021]]></source>
<year>2017</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Viceministerio de Gobernanza de la Salud Pública ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Quito, Ecuador]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B22">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Family Planning Program Effects: A Review of Evidence from Microdata]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Miller]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[G.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Singer]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[K]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Center for Global Development]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<volume>422</volume>
<page-range>1-26</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B23">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[The effects of mortality on fertility: population dynamics after a natural disaster]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nobles]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Frankenberg]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[E.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Thomas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Demography]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<volume>52</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>15-38</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B24">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Use of modern birth control methods among rural communities in Imo State, Nigeria]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Nwachukwu]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[I.]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Obasi]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[O. O]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[African Journal of Reproductive Health]]></source>
<year>2008</year>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<issue>1</issue>
<page-range>101-8</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B25">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Consequences of withdrawal: Free condoms and birth rates in the Philippines]]></article-title>
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Salas]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J. M. I]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[UP School of Economics]]></source>
<year>2013</year>
<page-range>1-45</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B26">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vinuesa]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[P]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Regresión lineal simple y polinomial: teoría y práctica]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
