<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2477-9105</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Perfiles]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Perfiles]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2477-9105</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Escuela Superior Politécnica de Chimborazo]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2477-91052020000100062</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47187/perf.v1i24.83</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[MODELO DE POISSON PARA LA ESTIMACIÓN DE DELITOS ADUANEROS EN EL ECUADOR]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Poisson model for the estimation of customs offenses in Ecuador]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Abril-Donoso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mauricio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chariguamán-Maurisaca]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Nancy]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Yungán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juan]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García-Veloz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Marlene]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Escuela Superior Politécnica de Chimborazo  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Riobamba ]]></addr-line>
<country>Ecuador</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2020</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>1</volume>
<numero>24</numero>
<fpage>62</fpage>
<lpage>67</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2477-91052020000100062&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2477-91052020000100062&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2477-91052020000100062&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN La elaboración de este modelo busca relacionar los delitos aduaneros con factores y covariables que influyen y faciliten el cometimiento de este tipo penal, por medio de la estimación de un modelo de Poisson. Para este estudio se relaciona el comportamiento de los indicadores socioeconómicos que se tiene en Ecuador, así como también, las devaluaciones del Peso colombiano y del Sol peruano, logrando identificar factores que generan el cometimiento de estos y como intervenir desde diversos ámbitos, tanto de control como prevención, en campos como social, control en territorio e intervención que fomenten la economía legal en ciudades de frontera.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT The elaboration of this model seeks to relate customs crimes with factors and covariates that influence and facilitate the commitment of this criminal type, through the estimation of a Poisson model. For this study the behavior of the socioeconomic indicators that are had is related in Ecuador, as well as, the devaluations of the Colombian Peso and the Peruvian Sun, managing to identify factors that generate their commitment and how to intervene from various fields, both control and prevention, in fields such as social, control in territory and intervention that promote the legal economy in border cities.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Delito aduanero]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[frontera]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[mercancía]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[devaluaciones]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Poisson]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Customs crime]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[border]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[merchandise]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[devaluations]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[model]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Poisson]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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