<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2477-9105</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Perfiles]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Perfiles]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2477-9105</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Escuela Superior Politécnica de Chimborazo]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2477-91052019000100026</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.47187/perf.v2i22.51</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[ESTIMACIÓN DE UN MODELO ECONOMÉTRICO QUE RELACIONA EL DELITO DE CONTRABANDO CON LA DEVALUACIÓN DEL PESO COLOMBIANO Y SOL PERUANO]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Estimation of an econometric model that relates the crime of contraband with the devaluation of the Colombian peso and Peruvian sol]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Abril-Donoso]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Mauricio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chariguamán-Maurisaca]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Nancy]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Escuela Superior Politécnica de Chimborazo  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Riobamba ]]></addr-line>
<country>Ecuador</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>2</volume>
<numero>22</numero>
<fpage>26</fpage>
<lpage>33</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2477-91052019000100026&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2477-91052019000100026&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2477-91052019000100026&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El objetivo del estudio es poder explicar el comportamiento del delito de contrabando, en función de las devaluaciones de las monedas de Colombia y Perú. La información se recopiló de las denuncias de contrabando de la base de delitos de la Fiscalía General del Estado de Ecuador (FGE), se recabó también las cotizaciones mensuales en promedio alcanzadas por el Peso colombiano de la Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia (www.superfinanciera.gov.co) y por el sol peruano de la página web investing.com (https://es.investing.com/currencies/usd-pen-historical-data). Los resultados muestran la correcta estimación del modelo econométrico para el contrabando, además de como las variables explicativas generan el cometimiento del delito de contrabando, esto permitirá que las autoridades gubernamentales puedan tomar medidas económicas para proteger el mercado interno y externo del País.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The objective of the study is to explain the behavior of the crime of contraband, based on the devaluations of the Colombian and Peruvian currencies. The information was collected from the allegations of contraband of the base of crimes of the Fiscalía General de Estado de Ecuador (FGE), the monthly quotes were also collected on average reached by the Colombian Peso of the Financial Superintendence of Colombia (www.superfinanciera.gov.co) and the Peruvian sol of the website investing.com (https://es.investing.com/currencies/usd-pen-historical-data). The results show the correct estimation of the econometric model for the contraband, in addition to how the explanatory variables generate the commission of the crime of contraband, this will allow the governmental authorities to take economic measures to protect the internal and external market of the Country.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[contrabando]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[devaluaciones]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo econométrico.]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[contraband]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[devaluations]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[econometric model.]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
<ref-list>
<ref id="B1">
<nlm-citation citation-type="journal">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Contrabando]]></article-title>
<collab>Fiscalía General del Estado</collab>
<source><![CDATA[Perfil Criminológico]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
<page-range>16</page-range></nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B2">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Ecuador afectado por crisis económica mundial, Gobierno privilegia inversión a creación de fondos de ahorro.]]></article-title>
<collab>Ecuadorinmediato</collab>
<source><![CDATA[]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B3">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<collab>Fundación Konrad Adenauer</collab>
<source><![CDATA[]]></source>
<year>2015</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B4">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[William]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Greene]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Econometric Analisis]]></source>
<year>2012</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Boston ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Prentice Hall]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B5">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gujarati]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Porter]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[D]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Econometría]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Mexico ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[McGrawHill]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B6">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hanke]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[J]]></given-names>
</name>
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Reitsch]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[A]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Pronósticos en los Negocios]]></source>
<year>1996</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Mexico ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Pearson]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B7">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Hansen]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Bruce]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Econometrics]]></source>
<year>2016</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Wisconsin ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[University of Wisconsin]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B8">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Novales]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alfonso]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Econometría]]></source>
<year>1993</year>
<edition>Segunda</edition>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Madrid ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Mc Grawm Hill]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B9">
<nlm-citation citation-type="">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Thomson]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Hothorn]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Testing Linear Regression Models Package &#8216;lmtest&#8217; by R. Testing Linear Regression Models Package &#8216;lmtest&#8217; by R]]></source>
<year>2018</year>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
<ref id="B10">
<nlm-citation citation-type="book">
<person-group person-group-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Wooldridge]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jeffrey]]></given-names>
</name>
</person-group>
<source><![CDATA[Introducción a la Econometría]]></source>
<year>2010</year>
<publisher-loc><![CDATA[Murcia ]]></publisher-loc>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Thomson]]></publisher-name>
</nlm-citation>
</ref>
</ref-list>
</back>
</article>
