<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2602-8484</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[FIGEMPA: Investigación y Desarrollo]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Figempa]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2602-8484</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Central de Ecuador ]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2602-84842019000200039</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.29166/revfig.v1i2.1418</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Desarrollo y evaluación preliminar de un índice climático simple para detección estacional de incendios forestales para Victoria, Australia]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang=""><![CDATA[Development and preliminary testing of a simple seasonal fire weather index for Victoria, Australia]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pazmiño]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Daniel]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Pezza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alexandre Bernardes]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Karoly]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[David]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Melbourne, Parkville  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Australia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Wellington. Wellington  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Nueva Zelanda</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de Melbourne, Parkville  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Australia</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2019</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>8</volume>
<numero>2</numero>
<fpage>39</fpage>
<lpage>51</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2602-84842019000200039&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2602-84842019000200039&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://scielo.senescyt.gob.ec/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2602-84842019000200039&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El Índice de Incendios Forestales de McArthur (FFDI, por sus siglas en inglés), es la herramienta más utilizada para investigar el clima de incendios forestales en Australia. Sin embargo, son escasos los avances en este campo en Australia desde el desarrollo del FFDI en 1967. El presente estudio tiene como objetivo desarrollar un índice simple para el análisis del clima de incendios forestales en Victoria, Australia. El índice propuesto &#8220;Índice Estacional Victoriano de Incendios Forestales&#8221; (VSBI por sus siglas en inglés) incorpora conocimiento local y de precursores remotos del clima de incendios forestales en esta región. Este índice fue diseñado para Victoria debido a que esta es una de las regiones más propensas a la ocurrencia de incendios forestales en el mundo. La formulación del VSBI se basó en datos locales de clima de incendios e indicadores de &#8220;El Niño Oscilación del Sur&#8221;. Este índice es una alternativa al FFDI que se basa en una compilación simple. Usando observaciones de estaciones meteorológicas, el VSBI y métricas estacionales del FFDI, se demostró un incremento en la tendencia al peligro de incendios forestales en Victoria durante el período 19742010. Adicionalmente, el VSBI demuestra capacidad para predecir el clima en temporadas extremas de incendios forestales. No obstante, la capacidad del VSBI para predecir incendios forestales per se es moderada. Estos resultados demuestran que un índice simple como el VSBI puede ser una alternativa útil a métricas tradicionales que miden el clima de incendios forestales en Australia.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract The McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index (FFDI) is the most common tool to investigate fire weather in Australia. However, there have been scarce advances in the creation of fire weather metrics in this country since the FFDI development in 1967. This study aims to test a simple fire weather index for Victoria, Australia. The proposed index &#8220;Victorian Seasonal Bushfire Index&#8221; (VSBI) incorporates knowledge of local and remote fire weather drivers for this region. The index was designed for Victoria since it is one of the most bushfire prone regions in the world. The VSBI formulation is based on local fire weather data and El Niño-Southern Oscillation indicators. The index is a seasonal alternative to the FFDI with a simple compilation. Using weather stations observations, the VSBI and seasonal metrics of the FFDI show an increasing trend in fire danger in Victoria during the period 1974-2010. Additionally, VSBI and FFDI show strong correlations during the antecedent (September-October-November) and concurrent (December-January-February) bushfire seasons. Moreover, the VSBI shows a strong fire weather seasonal forecasting skill. The VSBI fire activity forecasting skill is moderate. These results show that a simple index like the VSBI can be a useful alternative to traditional fire weather metrics in Australia.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Peligro de incendios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[variabilidad climática]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[riesgo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[historia de incendios]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[prevención]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Fire danger]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate variability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[risk]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[fire history]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[prevention]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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