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Revista Ecuatoriana de Neurología

versão On-line ISSN 2631-2581versão impressa ISSN 1019-8113

Resumo

NUNEZ-GONZALEZ, Solange; DUPLAT, Aglae  e  SIMANCAS, Daniel. Mortality due to cerebrovascular diseases in Ecuador 2001- 2015: a trend study, application of the joinpoint regression model. Rev Ecuat Neurol [online]. 2018, vol.27, n.1, pp.16-22. ISSN 2631-2581.

Objective:

To analyze the mortality trend for cerebrovascular diseases in Ecuador and to identify the presence of changes in the temporal trend using the joinpoint regression model.

Materials and Methods:

A mixed ecological study was carried out. Standardized mortality rates for the last 15 years (2001 to 2015) in Ecuador were calculated and stratified by age, sex, and provinces. A joinpoint regression analysis was used for analysis of trends.

Results:

From 2001 to 2015, there were 48,621 deaths from cerebrovascular diseases in Ecuador. In the joinpoint regression analysis, age-adjusted rates in men declined from 71.4 to 59.5 deaths per 100,000 population, with an annual decline of 1.51% (p <0.05) in females from 61.2 to 55.5 deaths per 100,000 population, with an annual decrease of 1.11% (p <0.05). In the analysis by provinces, Sucumbíos presented a growing trend of 3.17% per year (p <0.05).

Conclusions:

Mortality from cerebrovascular disease has declined in Ecuador in the last 15 years. The downward trend was observed in almost all age demographics.

Palavras-chave : Cerebrovascular diseases; Mortality; Regression Analysis; Trends (source: MeSH NLM)..

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