Abstract

ISAAC-ROQUE, Daniel  and  CAICEDO-CARRERO, Andrés. Relationship between the financial indicators of the Altman Z-model and the Z-Score. Retos [online]. 2023, vol.13, n.25, pp.139-158. ISSN 1390-8618.  https://doi.org/10.17163/ret.n25.2023.09.

from a theoretical point of view, there is no general consensus on the identification of a company’s financial difficulties. The Altman Z-Score model is recognized in the literature as an indicator for measuring the probability of financial insolvency. While this model is widely used as a metric for predicting financial distress, there is no agreement on the factors that determine the behavior or outcome of the Z-Score. In this sense, the purpose of this study is to analyze the factors that determine the behavior of the Z-Score in Colombian companies. The research is developed under a quantitative methodological approach, with a correlational design. This scope of research seeks to measure the association between the Altman Z-Score and the financial indicators that determine its outcome; to this end, a total of 2,684 companies in the Colombian commercial sector that reported financial information on a systematic basis during the period 2016-2020 are analyzed. The results of the statistical tests carried out reveal that there is a direct relationship between the indicator measuring financial structure (equity/liabilities) and the Altman Z-Score. This leads to the conclusion that a company that seeks to capitalize profits and keep debt levels under control, from the point of view of Altman’s model, will be a company with financial stability and a low probability of financial insolvency.

Keywords : liquidity; leverage; performance; financial structure; correlation; financial insolvency.

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