Resumo

TARIN-SANZ, Adrián. Propaganda as a Gauge of Armed Conflict: the Case of the Caucasus Emirate in Russia (2010-2019). URVIO [online]. 2022, n.33, pp.68-86. ISSN 1390-4299.  https://doi.org/10.17141/urvio.33.2022.5233.

This paper aims to provide complementary, reliable and replicable data about the count of victims caused by the guerrillas of the North Caucasus, to explain their current weakness. The methodology used is the content analysis of all the publications made between 2010 and 2019 in its official propaganda organ, Kavkaz Center. This is complemented with a historical context analysis. It is concluded that there is a general coincidence in the increase and decrease of both variables -propaganda production and victims caused- over time. Therefore, the scrutiny of the guerrillas' propaganda helps to know their vigor with greater certainty than if we only take into account the number of attacks perpetrated. Replicating the analysis in other contexts would allow knowing if a rule can be established in this regard.

Palavras-chave : extremism; Russia; terrorism; violence; war propaganda.

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